links
back to issues
issues of pressing
concern: (about which you
might want to CONTACT YOUR
REPRESENTATIVES)
- the right
is fighting hard to push the federal marriage amendment. Evan Wolfson
of Freedom to Marry came to stanford
to participate in a debate with the Reverand Lou Sheldon of the Traditional
Values Coalition on the proposed amendment. It was sadly not too
informative a debate. Wolfson spoke with eloquence and logic, while
Sheldon relied on rhetoric and prejudice. i felt like if i talked one-on-one
with Sheldon, i should be able to expose the absense of logic in his initiative
and get him to change his mind, but that's a fundamental problem dealing with
people who base their decisions on faith rather than reason... they
cannot be made to see reason.
the highlight for me was after Sheldon had brought up the statistics cited
by Stanley Kurtz
showing a decline in marriage rates in scandinavia (referring to them as studies
demonstrating that gay marriage is causing social collapse there). an
audience member asked him whether the studies in question were correlational
or causational. he said, "what?"
this brings me to a larger point about what i think perhaps should be step
one in turning this country around. anyone well-versed in science can
easily tell you the difference between correlation and causation and the pitfalls
of relying on correlation alone to make any point about causality (here's
a basic explanation
for those not well-versed in science!). however, those who employ "scientific"
data to make cases for public policy typically have little to no training
in science, while they have extensive training in sounding self-assured and
well-informed when speaking to the public. the rev. Lou Sheldon can
make himself sound very convincing to the average layman claiming that "studies
show" gay marriage is causing social collapse in norway. and the
layman doesn't have the grounding in science to evaluate that statement critically.
but there was no shortage of excruciating scientific errors propounded by
the good rev. Sheldon tonight. another glaring example was in his opening
statement: in essence, he asserted that because there was no study pointing
out the "gay gene", he could take it for granted that homosexuality
is not an immutable characteristic, and thus homosexuals are not party to
the protections (or, i guess, basic civil rights) afforded minority groups.
two fallacies here that occur all the time in public policy debate:
taking a lack of evidence (or the inconclusiveness of evidence) as evidence
in itself, and only looking for (and acknowledging) evidence that supports
your hypothesis, rather than attempting to disprove it. he also showed
the error of relying almost entirely on one source, Unwin's 1934 book Sex
and Culture. Though even if we are to rely on 1930s british cultural
anthropology and the host of prejudices and methodological inexactness it
represents, it still doesn't explain how you get from Unwin's hypothesis—that
"strict marital monogamy" is necessary for the survival of civilization—to
the need to ban gay marriage. if marital monogamy is what you're after,
why prevent people from having it?
the funniest moment of the evening was while Wolfson was talking about a recommendation
from the american academy of pediatrics (citing studies
of children of same-sex parents) supporting adoption by same-sex couples:
Sheldon interrupted, "those who wrote it i believe were gay."
hardly missing a beat, Wolfson replied, "it was well written."
anyway, i think if we had better science education in this country, we could
give the coming generation the intellectual resources to make well-informed,
critically evaluated, logical decisions about policy. and everything
else.
april 2005